Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.095688 1.248262 1.414525 1.609185 1.830900 2.075639 2.366400
2025-11-30 0.843272 1.046812 1.288244 1.595885 1.977787 2.436759 3.031030
2025-12-07 0.689770 0.909948 1.187289 1.562583 2.057866 2.690209 3.560747
2025-12-14 0.575357 0.797503 1.091343 1.508923 2.088204 2.865204 3.989875
2025-12-21 0.501596 0.725675 1.034880 1.493354 2.157486 3.087274 4.493011
2025-12-28 0.458993 0.690004 1.021093 1.531073 2.299069 3.416419 5.173196
2026-01-04 0.406375 0.632554 0.968075 1.503087 2.337747 3.595329 5.644397
2026-01-11 0.377419 0.606800 0.958131 1.536687 2.469434 3.921328 6.366951
2026-01-18 0.346783 0.574625 0.934169 1.544316 2.558655 4.186337 7.014622
2026-01-25 0.314469 0.536056 0.895668 1.523422 2.597588 4.371330 7.544939
2026-02-01 0.283181 0.495828 0.850198 1.485565 2.602871 4.498542 7.985696
2026-02-08 0.255951 0.459727 0.807986 1.448509 2.604594 4.617408 8.419336
2026-02-15 0.235202 0.435605 0.788643 1.458159 2.705034 4.944510 9.311593
2026-02-22 0.212896 0.406749 0.758918 1.447904 2.772548 5.228142 10.174551
2026-03-01 0.190883 0.375641 0.721258 1.417764 2.798099 5.435214 10.914184
2026-03-08 0.169484 0.343063 0.676953 1.369119 2.781125 5.557461 11.498712
2026-03-15 0.154682 0.321727 0.651809 1.355004 2.830147 5.812322 12.379003
2026-03-22 0.146585 0.313037 0.650648 1.389199 2.981152 6.287572 13.773449
2026-03-29 0.133492 0.292344 0.622674 1.363828 3.003379 6.497716 14.622248
2026-04-05 0.126804 0.284619 0.620887 1.394289 3.149181 6.985079 16.139199
2026-04-12 0.118709 0.272851 0.609108 1.401205 3.243142 7.368831 17.465681
2026-04-19 0.109353 0.257174 0.587046 1.382263 3.275800 7.618361 18.508089
2026-04-26 0.099794 0.239960 0.559699 1.347943 3.268483 7.774926 19.345938